Diagnosing Heparin-Induced Thrombocytopenia: How Accurate Is the Recommended Algorithm?
Heparin-induced thrombocytopenia (HIT) is a high-risk condition that requires immediate therapy with high-risk medications; thus, accurate diagnosis is critical. Because HIT-antibody testing has a relatively high false-positive rate, guidelines direct clinicians to use an algorithm that starts with the 4Ts score (https://www.mdcalc.com/calc/1787/4ts-score-heparin-induced-thrombocytopenia) and then recommend antibody testing in patients whose 4Ts scores indicate intermediate or high risk for HIT. In a prospective study of 1300 patients with possible HIT, investigators assessed the accuracy of the 4Ts score and the guideline-recommended diagnostic algorithm. The reference-standard test for comparison was a heparin-induced platelet activation assay; prevalence of HIT was 8.4% by reference-standard testing. Findings appear in JAMA Network Open (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.3786).
Positive predictive values of 4Ts score and the recommended diagnostic algorithm were expectedly low (15% and 66%, respectively). However, nearly half of patients were low risk using 4Ts score and would not have warranted antibody testing by the recommended diagnostic algorithm. That algorithm had high sensitivity (87%) and specificity (96%) and a very high negative predictive value (99%).
Because clinicians order reference-standard testing (i.e., serotonin release assay or heparin-induced platelet activation assay) to confirm positive HIT-antibody testing, false positives by the recommended algorithm eventually get resolved. However, 9% of patients with confirmed HIT (10 of 111) had false-negative (i.e., “low-risk”) 4Ts scores in this study. Additional testing still should be considered if suspicion for HIT remains despite a low-risk 4Ts score; for example, a score of 3 points is technically “low risk” but might warrant further testing based on clinical gestalt.
Daniel D. Dressler, MD, MSc, MHM, FACP
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